Geoff Cumming receives funding from the Australian Research Council. Such research findings sound exciting because the word significant suggests important and large. But researchers often use the word ...

Confidence intervals estimate likelihood of a data set's accuracy, aiding financial decisions. Utilizing confidence intervals in risk management helps stabilize cost forecasts. Larger sample sizes ...

The directions, which came via cell phone, were a little garbled, but as you understood them: "Turn left at the 3rd light and go straight; the restaurant will be on your right side." Ten minutes ago ...

Third in the series: Nobody becomes a Psych major to study statistics The science of uncertainty. Statistics – much to the regret of many potential psych majors – is the core methodology that links ...

Sometimes it’s hard to have confidence in science. So many results from published scientific studies turn out to be wrong. Part of the problem is that science has trouble quantifying just how ...

The brain produces feelings of confidence that inform decisions the same way statistics pulls patterns out of noisy data. This feeling of confidence is central to decision making, and, despite ample ...